Counts over all 19,600 flops for one suited connector, 8s 7s. Made straights and flushes are left out, so every row is a draw. Any middle suited connector gives the same counts.
| Flop gives you | Chance | Plain English |
|---|---|---|
| A flush draw (four to the suit) | 10.76% | about 1 in 9.3 |
| An open-ended straight draw or double gutshot | 9.60% | about 1 in 10 |
| Flush draw plus open-ended straight draw | 1.24% | about 1 in 81 |
| Flush draw plus gutshot | 2.11% | about 1 in 47 |
| Flush draw plus a pair of your hole cards | 1.68% | about 1 in 59 |
A big draw against a made hand.
| Spot | Your hand | Their hand | Flop | Your equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight + flush draw vs overpair | 8s7s | AcAd | 9s6s2h | 56.3% |
| Straight + flush draw vs top pair | 8s7s | Ah9h | 9s6s2h | 54.9% |
| Open-ender + flush draw vs overpair | 8s7s | QhQd | Ts9s2d | 54.4% |
| Gutshot + flush draw vs top pair | 8s7s | AhTd | Ts6s2h | 48.3% |
| Pair + flush draw vs top pair, better kicker | Js9s | AhJd | Jc8s3s | 48.2% |
A flush draw with an open-ender has about 15 clean outs and is a small favourite against an overpair here. A flush draw with a gutshot is closer to a coin flip.
FLAWLESS POKER / STUDY CHART
Two draws can beat one pair
These counts are for study and post-session review. Where a row comes from a simulation, the caption names how many deals were run. Where a stack or a pot is made up, the caption says so. None of these figures is an instruction for a live pot.