| Event | Chance | Plain English |
|---|---|---|
| The pot is split | 4.11% | about 1 in 24 |
| Split because the five board cards are both players' best hand | 1.52% | about 1 in 66 |
Mirror matchups.
| Matchup | Cards | First hand wins | Split | Second hand wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK vs AK, all four suits different | AsKd vs AhKc | 2.2% | 95.7% | 2.2% |
| AKs vs AKo, sharing no suit | AsKs vs AhKc | 7.2% | 90.7% | 2.2% |
| AKs vs AKs | AsKs vs AdKd | 7.2% | 85.7% | 7.2% |
| KK vs KK | KsKh vs KdKc | 2.2% | 95.7% | 2.2% |
| AQo vs AQo | AsQd vs AhQc | 2.2% | 95.7% | 2.2% |
| T9s vs T9o | Ts9s vs Th9d | 7.2% | 90.7% | 2.2% |
With no suits shared, a mirror matchup splits about 95.7% of the time. Each side wins only when four or five cards of their suit arrive. A suited hand against the same ranks offsuit wins about 7.2% and loses about 2.2%.
FLAWLESS POKER / STUDY CHART
Mirror hands usually split
These counts are for study and post-session review. Where a row comes from a simulation, the caption names how many deals were run. Where a stack or a pot is made up, the caption says so. None of these figures is an instruction for a live pot.